1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
695$
−30.5%
trades
27
won 29.6%
Year
Strategy
Holding the coin
2023
+28.1%
−3.4%
2024
−38.7%
+432%
2025
−13.9%
−66.0%
2026 (so far)
−22.8%
−41.8%
The answer: Holding the coin did better than the strategy. Buying on random days did better, so the strategy timing did not help. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.