STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is the breakout strategy on Dogecoin (DOGE) profitable?

The rule: Buy DOGE when it closes above its 50-day high, sell at +20% or −10% or after 60 days · since 2019-02-01

📡 Live readings on Telegram
1,000$ put in following the strategy
1,257$
+25.7% · worst drop of the balance 52.9%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
36,228$
+3,523% · worst drop of the balance 92.3%
1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
1,291$
+29.1%
trades
40
won 40.0%
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2019+7.1%+5.7%
2020−17.3%+132%
2021+31.8%+3,536%
2022+14.8%−58.7%
2023−25.0%+27.5%
2024+21.6%+253%
2025−4.0%−62.8%
2026 (so far)+7.1%−41.2%
The answer: Holding the coin did better than the strategy. Buying on random days did better, so the strategy timing did not help. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
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updated 2026-11-09

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DOGE with another strategy

Buy the dipMoving averageRegular buying

Breakout on other coins

BTCETHSOLXRPBNBADALTCLINKTRXAVAXDOTBCHSHIBNEARATOMUNIPEPESUIETC

How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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