STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is the breakout strategy on Ethereum (ETH) profitable?

The rule: Buy ETH when it closes above its 50-day high, sell at +20% or −10% or after 60 days · since 2017-12-14

📡 Live readings on Telegram
1,000$ put in following the strategy
2,573$
+157% · worst drop of the balance 43.7%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
3,271$
+227% · worst drop of the balance 93.8%
1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
958$
−4.2%
trades
53
won 45.3%
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2017−10.4%+9.1%
2018−4.0%−82.4%
2019+14.8%−1.7%
2020+21.5%+470%
2021+41.2%+400%
2022−19.6%−67.5%
2023+36.5%+90.8%
2024−5.9%+46.3%
2025+37.2%−11.0%
2026 (so far)+7.1%−24.6%
The answer: Holding the coin did better than the strategy. Buying on random days did worse, so the strategy timing helped. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
Change the numbers or try another coin in the lab →
updated 2026-11-08

Share the result

XTelegramWhatsApp

ETH with another strategy

Buy the dipMoving averageRegular buying

Breakout on other coins

BTCSOLXRPBNBADADOGELTCLINKTRXAVAXDOTBCHSHIBNEARATOMUNIPEPESUIETC

How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
In the bot: the BTC Big Wave Plan, a check of your watchlist coins, and live market readings.Open the bot