STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is the breakout strategy on NEAR profitable?

The rule: Buy NEAR when it closes above its 50-day high, sell at +20% or −10% or after 60 days · since 2020-12-03

📡 Live readings on Telegram
1,000$ put in following the strategy
707$
−29.3% · worst drop of the balance 68.6%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
3,113$
+211% · worst drop of the balance 95.3%
1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
1,100$
+10.0%
trades
40
won 35.0%
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2020no trades+20.6%
2021−20.6%+952%
2022−13.9%−91.4%
2023+31.8%+190%
2024−50.2%+34.6%
2025−19.6%−69.2%
2026 (so far)+96.0%+137%
The answer: Holding the coin did better than the strategy. Buying on random days did better, so the strategy timing did not help. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
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updated 2026-11-09

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NEAR with another strategy

Buy the dipMoving averageRegular buying

Breakout on other coins

BTCETHSOLXRPBNBADADOGELTCLINKTRXAVAXDOTBCHSHIBATOMUNIPEPESUIETC

How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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