STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is the breakout strategy on Cosmos (ATOM) profitable?

The rule: Buy ATOM when it closes above its 50-day high, sell at +20% or −10% or after 60 days · since 2019-06-12

📡 Live readings on Telegram
1,000$ put in following the strategy
591$
−40.9% · worst drop of the balance 63.5%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
212$
−78.8% · worst drop of the balance 97.2%
1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
789$
−21.1%
trades
39
won 33.3%
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2019+7.1%−31.2%
2020−30.8%+53.2%
2021−31.6%+402%
2022+2.9%−71.2%
2023+14.8%+13.3%
2024+53.1%−41.6%
2025−19.6%−68.8%
2026 (so far)−19.6%−32.5%
The answer: The strategy beat holding the coin. Buying on random days did better, so the strategy timing did not help. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
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updated 2026-11-09

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ATOM with another strategy

Buy the dipMoving averageRegular buying

Breakout on other coins

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How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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