STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is buying the dip on Cosmos (ATOM) profitable?

The rule: Buy ATOM after a day that fell 10%, sell at +10% or −10% or after 30 days · since 2019-04-24

📡 Live readings on Telegram
1,000$ put in following the strategy
572$
−42.8% · worst drop of the balance 79.8%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
369$
−63.1% · worst drop of the balance 97.2%
1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
636$
−36.4%
trades
73
won 50.7%
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2019+11.7%+13.4%
2020+60.9%+53.2%
2021−32.9%+402%
2022−42.1%−71.2%
2023−1.8%+13.3%
2024−28.0%−41.6%
2025+15.8%−68.8%
2026 (so far)no trades−28.7%
The answer: The strategy beat holding the coin. Buying on random days did better, so the strategy timing did not help. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
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updated 2026-11-08

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ATOM with another strategy

BreakoutMoving averageRegular buying

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How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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