STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is buying the dip on Avalanche (AVAX) profitable?

The rule: Buy AVAX after a day that fell 10%, sell at +10% or −10% or after 30 days · since 2021-08-27

📡 Live readings on Telegram
1,000$ put in following the strategy
917$
−8.3% · worst drop of the balance 56.7%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
165$
−83.5% · worst drop of the balance 95.6%
1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
750$
−25.0%
trades
43
won 53.5%
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2021+39.0%+119%
2022−42.1%−90.0%
2023+17.9%+253%
2024−3.5%−7.3%
2025+1.9%−65.6%
2026 (so far)−1.8%−33.0%
The answer: The strategy beat holding the coin. Buying on random days did worse, so the strategy timing helped. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
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updated 2026-11-08

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AVAX with another strategy

How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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