1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
579$
−42.1%
trades
16
won 31.2%
Year
Strategy
Holding the coin
2023
−1.8%
−41.7%
2024
−22.5%
+432%
2025
−30.5%
−66.0%
2026 (so far)
−10.4%
−38.9%
The answer: Holding the coin did better than the strategy. Buying on random days did better, so the strategy timing did not help. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.