1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
409$
−59.1%
trades
44
won 43.2%
Year
Strategy
Holding the coin
2023
−34.2%
+338%
2024
−35.4%
+1,442%
2025
+7.7%
−79.8%
2026 (so far)
−19.6%
+20.5%
The answer: Holding the coin did better than the strategy. Buying on random days did better, so the strategy timing did not help. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.