Is the breakout strategy on Pepe (PEPE) profitable? The result since 2023

1,000$ put in following the strategy

1,495$

+49.5% · worst drop of the balance 30.6%

1,000$ put in just holding the coin

4,569$

+357% · worst drop of the balance 91.2%

1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop

841$

−15.9%

trades

won 45.0%

Year	Strategy	Holding the coin
2023	−28.0%	+19.5%
2024	+68.7%	+1,442%
2025	+7.1%	−79.8%
2026 (so far)	+14.8%	+22.7%

The answer: Holding the coin did better than the strategy. Buying on random days did worse, so the strategy timing helped. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.

Change the numbers or try another coin in the lab →

updated 2026-11-09

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PEPE with another strategy

Buy the dip Moving average Regular buying

Breakout on other coins

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How we tested

Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.

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