STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is the breakout strategy on Ethereum Classic (ETC) profitable?

The rule: Buy ETC when it closes above its 50-day high, sell at +20% or −10% or after 60 days · since 2017-12-19

📡 Live readings on Telegram
⚠️ ETC trades thinly: about 123,375$ a day. Anyone buying or selling a large amount moves the price, so real execution would be worse than these numbers.
1,000$ put in following the strategy
2,895$
+190% · worst drop of the balance 31.9%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
170$
−83.0% · worst drop of the balance 95.4%
1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
687$
−31.3%
trades
35
won 48.6%
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2017no trades−25.2%
2018−19.6%−83.0%
2019+7.1%−9.7%
2020+23.0%+25.9%
2021+110%+502%
2022+28.1%−53.9%
2023−13.9%+39.6%
2024+53.1%+14.4%
2025+7.1%−54.2%
2026 (so far)−28.0%−42.1%
The answer: The strategy beat holding the coin. Buying on random days did worse, so the strategy timing helped. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
Change the numbers or try another coin in the lab →
updated 2026-11-09

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ETC with another strategy

Buy the dipMoving averageRegular buying

Breakout on other coins

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How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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