STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is the breakout strategy on Polkadot (DOT) profitable?

The rule: Buy DOT when it closes above its 50-day high, sell at +20% or −10% or after 60 days · since 2020-10-11

📡 Live readings on Telegram
1,000$ put in following the strategy
798$
−20.2% · worst drop of the balance 57.6%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
203$
−79.7% · worst drop of the balance 98.6%
1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
598$
−40.2%
trades
31
won 35.5%
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2020+7.1%+118%
2021+13.4%+188%
2022−10.4%−83.8%
2023+19.3%+90.4%
2024−28.7%−19.0%
2025−19.6%−73.1%
2026 (so far)+7.1%−51.8%
The answer: The strategy beat holding the coin. Buying on random days did worse, so the strategy timing helped. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
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updated 2026-11-09

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How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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