STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is the breakout strategy on BNB profitable?

The rule: Buy BNB when it closes above its 50-day high, sell at +20% or −10% or after 60 days · since 2019-04-26

📡 Live readings on Telegram
1,000$ put in following the strategy
6,003$
+500% · worst drop of the balance 38.7%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
29,704$
+2,870% · worst drop of the balance 76.0%
1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
953$
−4.7%
trades
45
won 51.1%
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2019−4.0%−40.5%
2020+14.2%+172%
2021+149%+1,270%
2022+7.1%−51.9%
2023+0.2%+26.7%
2024+41.0%+125%
2025+68.6%+23.0%
2026 (so far)−13.9%−20.7%
The answer: Holding the coin did better than the strategy. Buying on random days did worse, so the strategy timing helped. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
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updated 2026-11-09

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How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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