STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is the breakout strategy on Cardano (ADA) profitable?

The rule: Buy ADA when it closes above its 50-day high, sell at +20% or −10% or after 60 days · since 2019-08-17

📡 Live readings on Telegram
1,000$ put in following the strategy
1,082$
+8.2% · worst drop of the balance 62.4%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
3,698$
+270% · worst drop of the balance 95.2%
1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
609$
−39.1%
trades
44
won 38.6%
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2019no trades−30.6%
2020+20.0%+452%
2021+90.6%+621%
2022−10.4%−81.2%
2023+10.2%+142%
2024−7.8%+42.3%
2025−19.6%−60.5%
2026 (so far)−35.4%−47.5%
The answer: Holding the coin did better than the strategy. Buying on random days did worse, so the strategy timing helped. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
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updated 2026-11-09

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ADA with another strategy

Buy the dipMoving averageRegular buying

Breakout on other coins

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How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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