STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is buying the dip on Cardano (ADA) profitable?

The rule: Buy ADA after a day that fell 10%, sell at +10% or −10% or after 30 days · since 2019-06-29

📡 Live readings on Telegram
1,000$ put in following the strategy
493$
−50.7% · worst drop of the balance 60.9%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
2,014$
+101% · worst drop of the balance 95.2%
1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
493$
−50.7%
trades
45
won 46.7%
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2019+7.6%−63.6%
2020+3.8%+452%
2021−18.1%+621%
2022−30.5%−81.2%
2023+17.9%+142%
2024+5.7%+42.3%
2025−22.5%−60.5%
2026 (so far)−19.6%−45.5%
The answer: Holding the coin did better than the strategy. Buying on random days did better, so the strategy timing did not help. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
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updated 2026-11-08

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How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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