STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is the breakout strategy on Bitcoin Cash (BCH) profitable?

The rule: Buy BCH when it closes above its 50-day high, sell at +20% or −10% or after 60 days · since 2019-01-10

📡 Live readings on Telegram
1,000$ put in following the strategy
450$
−55.0% · worst drop of the balance 67.2%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
1,823$
+82.3% · worst drop of the balance 94.2%
1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
701$
−29.9%
trades
38
won 31.6%
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2019+14.8%+56.1%
2020−7.8%+67.1%
2021−1.2%+25.9%
2022−10.4%−77.4%
2023−7.8%+168%
2024+2.9%+67.3%
2025−32.9%+38.0%
2026 (so far)−24.6%−60.1%
The answer: Holding the coin did better than the strategy. Buying on random days did better, so the strategy timing did not help. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
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updated 2026-11-09

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BCH with another strategy

Buy the dipMoving averageRegular buying

Breakout on other coins

BTCETHSOLXRPBNBADADOGELTCLINKTRXAVAXDOTSHIBNEARATOMUNIPEPESUIETC

How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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