STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is the breakout strategy on Avalanche (AVAX) profitable?

The rule: Buy AVAX when it closes above its 50-day high, sell at +20% or −10% or after 60 days · since 2021-10-15

📡 Live readings on Telegram
1,000$ put in following the strategy
1,201$
+20.1% · worst drop of the balance 30.4%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
141$
−85.9% · worst drop of the balance 95.6%
1,000$ put in buying on random days, same target and stop
901$
−9.9%
trades
22
won 40.9%
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2021−13.9%+94.4%
2022−10.4%−90.0%
2023+31.8%+253%
2024+14.8%−7.3%
2025+7.1%−65.6%
2026 (so far)−4.0%−35.5%
The answer: The strategy beat holding the coin. Buying on random days did worse, so the strategy timing helped. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
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updated 2026-11-09

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AVAX with another strategy

Buy the dipMoving averageRegular buying

Breakout on other coins

BTCETHSOLXRPBNBADADOGELTCLINKTRXDOTBCHSHIBNEARATOMUNIPEPESUIETC

How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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