STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is holding Ethereum Classic (ETC) above its 50-day average profitable?

The rule: Hold ETC while its daily close is above its 50-day average, sell when it closes below · since 2017-12-18

📡 Live readings on Telegram
⚠️ ETC trades thinly: about 123,375$ a day. Anyone buying or selling a large amount moves the price, so real execution would be worse than these numbers.
1,000$ put in following the strategy
939$
−6.1% · worst drop of the balance 88.7%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
174$
−82.6% · worst drop of the balance 95.4%
buys
107
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2017−37.7%−23.3%
2018−52.4%−83.0%
2019−12.8%−9.7%
2020+70.5%+25.9%
2021+431%+502%
2022−11.6%−53.9%
2023+18.4%+39.6%
2024−16.8%+14.4%
2025−34.0%−54.2%
2026 (so far)−30.1%−42.1%
The answer: The strategy beat holding the coin. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
Change the numbers or try another coin in the lab →
updated 2026-11-09

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ETC with another strategy

Buy the dipBreakoutRegular buying

Moving average on other coins

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How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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