STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is holding Ethereum (ETH) above its 50-day average profitable?

The rule: Hold ETH while its daily close is above its 50-day average, sell when it closes below · since 2017-12-13

📡 Live readings on Telegram
1,000$ put in following the strategy
42,149$
+4,115% · worst drop of the balance 55.7%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
3,359$
+236% · worst drop of the balance 93.8%
buys
79
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2017+12.4%+12.0%
2018+11.1%−82.4%
2019+3.1%−1.7%
2020+276%+470%
2021+200%+400%
2022−31.4%−67.5%
2023+52.7%+90.8%
2024+20.5%+46.3%
2025+86.9%−11.0%
2026 (so far)+23.3%−24.6%
The answer: The strategy beat holding the coin. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
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updated 2026-11-08

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ETH with another strategy

Buy the dipBreakoutRegular buying

Moving average on other coins

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How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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