STRATEGY LAB · العربيّة

Is holding Bitcoin (BTC) above its 50-day average profitable?

The rule: Hold BTC while its daily close is above its 50-day average, sell when it closes below · since 2017-12-13

📡 Live readings on Telegram
1,000$ put in following the strategy
16,979$
+1,598% · worst drop of the balance 66.9%
1,000$ put in just holding the coin
4,707$
+371% · worst drop of the balance 83.3%
buys
92
YearStrategyHolding the coin
2017−18.2%−18.0%
2018−45.1%−72.0%
2019+79.1%+94.5%
2020+310%+302%
2021+123%+59.8%
2022−51.1%−64.2%
2023+137%+156%
2024+74.0%+121%
2025+1.8%−6.3%
2026 (so far)+12.5%−13.4%
The answer: The strategy beat holding the coin. Its worst drop was milder than holding the coin.
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updated 2026-11-08

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BTC with another strategy

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Moving average on other coins

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How we tested

  • Complete daily candles from our records for each coin, from its first day to the last close, refreshed every night.
  • 0.4% cost per full trade (fee and slippage), one trade at a time with the whole balance.
  • Buy at the next open after the signal. If one day touches both the target and the stop, the stop counts first: the worse case.
  • Random entries: the same number of trades with the same target and stop on random days, repeated 30 times, median shown.
  • The result describes what happened in the past and promises nothing about the future.
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